Forex System

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★ Curso Forex COMPLETO Gratis en Español El MEJOR Curso de FOREX TRADING

Posted: 08 Nov 2021 12:03 AM PST




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A continuación explicaremos cuales son los términos mas utilizados en el mercado Forex y cual es la forma correcta de analizarlos y de evaluarlos respecto de la operativa.

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Crude Oil Reignites for Bulls As OPEC+ News Sinks In. Can WTI Make a New High?

Posted: 07 Nov 2021 11:41 PM PST



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Crude Oil, China, Coal, Baltic Dry Index – Talking Points

  • Crude oil prices find support as supply issues are still unresolved
  • APAC equities were mixed in a quiet Asian session despite strong Chinese data
  • All eyes on inflation data later in the week. Will crude resume trend?

Crude oil continued higher today as the reality of OPEC+ not adding to production output seems to be sinking in. The market also questioned if the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve would be tapped or not. The WTI oil contract traded as high as US$ 82.47 in the Asian session.

Despite record highs for US stocks on Friday, APAC equities were mixed with Australian and Japanese stocks a bit soft while Hong Kong were slightly up. The kiwi was the best performing currency today.

In China, the communist party meets this week where it is believed that President Xi Jinping is likely to get an extension of his term as leader of the party. The implementation of his 'shared prosperity' policy has seen many sectors of the economy come under regulatory scrutiny. This has created a degree of uncertainty for some companies.

Over the weekend, China reported a larger than expected October trade surplus, coming in at US$ 84.54 billion, well ahead of forecasts of around US$ 65 billion. Exports ramped by 27.1% for the year to the end of October while imports increased by only 20.6%.

Today, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) reported that coal output has hit its' highest level in several years. State Grid Corp. of China stated that power supply is back to normal. The utility supplies 88% of China's power.

It's possible that supply chain congestion might be easing as indicated by shipping costs. The Baltic Dry Index that measures the cost of shipping in the 3 largest categories of cargo ships, is roughly half of where it was at the peak in early October. However, it is still above levels not seen since 2010.

Today we have US PPI figures due out and then on Wednesday, US and China inflation will be released.

Crude Oil Technical Analysis

WTI crude oil moved below an ascending trend line last week. On the run down it also went below the 10 and 21-day simple moving averages (SMA). It is now challenging to move back above these 2 SMAs.

It has remained above the longer term SMAs as represented in the chart by the 100-day SMA. This could suggest that shorter term momentum is directionless while underlying longer term bullish momentum is potentially still intact.

The recent high of 84.88 and 85.41 may offer resistance. On the downside, the previous lows of 78.25 and 74.96 and a pivot point at 73.14 are possible support levels.

CRUDE OIL CHART

Chart created in TradingView

— Written by Daniel McCarthy, Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Daniel, use the comments section below or @DanMcCathyFX on Twitter




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SAP FSCM Treasury & Risk Management Application Designer

Posted: 07 Nov 2021 11:38 PM PST



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Job title: SAP FSCM Treasury & Risk Management Application Designer

Company: Accenture

Job description: ability to build, manage and foster a team-oriented environment -Desire to work in an information systems environment -Excellent… to meet business process and application requirements. Management Level : 9 Work Experience : 6-8 years Work location…

Expected salary:

Location: Bangalore, Karnataka

Job date: Sun, 07 Nov 2021 23:21:19 GMT

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International Relationship Manager – Business Banking

Posted: 07 Nov 2021 11:07 PM PST



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Job title: International Relationship Manager – Business Banking

Company: HSBC

Job description: or professional's interaction with HSBC. Work in partnership with colleagues across the HSBC network to deliver exceptional standards… information, including KYC requirements in Group systems Resolve any/all identified issues promptly, and escalate concerns…

Expected salary:

Location: Mumbai, Maharashtra

Job date: Mon, 08 Nov 2021 07:05:12 GMT

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Cómo ganar más pips en Forex | Winpips

Posted: 07 Nov 2021 11:02 PM PST




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En este video, veremos cómo ganar más pips en forex con algunos consejos.

Explicaremos qué tipo de pares de divisas son los más adecuados para una mayor volatilidad, cuánto tiempo debes dejar tus operaciones abiertas según el time frame (temporalidad), cuántos pares es conveniente que operes a la vez, cuáles son los ratios riesgo beneficio óptimos y cuál es la mejor actitud para cada vez hacer mejores trades y maximizar nuestras ganancias.

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Gold Price Outlook Turns to Fed Chair Jerome Powell as XAU/USD Breaks Resistance

Posted: 07 Nov 2021 10:37 PM PST



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Gold, XAU/USD, NFPs, Treasury Yields, Fedspeak, Technical Analysis – Talking Points:

  • Gold prices closed at highest since early September last week
  • Fed may reiterate transitory inflation outlook, Powell in focus
  • XAU/USD approaching key resistance as retail traders sell

Gold prices traded quietly as the new trading week began with the Asia-Pacific session. Treasury yields trimmed losses from Friday. The yellow metal closed at its highest since early September last week following fairly supportive fundamental developments. That would be the combined disappointment that hawks were looking for from the Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of England and Federal Reserve.

The key takeaway between the three of them was their stance on inflation being transitory, cooling 2022 rate hike expectations. The 10-year Treasury yield closed at its lowest since late September. This is something that the anti-fiat XAU/USD likely took well advantage of. But, persistent strength in the US Dollar likely capped its upside potential.

Over the remaining 24 hours, gold prices will eye Fedspeak, including Chair Jerome Powell and Vice Chair Richard Clarida. This follows last Friday's stellar non-farm payrolls report, which struggled to bring forward hawkish Fed monetary policy expectations in the wake of patient commentary around interest rates. Reiterating similar language may continue keeping yields at bay, supporting XAU/USD.

Check out the DailyFX Economic Calendar for more key events!

Gold Technical Analysis

On the 4-hour chart, gold prices broke above the 1813 – 1808 resistance zone, exposing the 1825 – 1834 zone above. The latter is made up of peaks from July. A bullish Golden Cross between the 20- and 50-period SMAs may form, opening the door to an upward technical bias. These lines may also come into play as key support in the event of a near-term decline.

XAU/USD 4-Hour Chart

Gold Price Outlook Turns to Fed Chair Jerome Powell as XAU/USD Breaks Resistance

Chart Created Using TradingView

Gold Sentiment Analysis – Bullish

According to IG Client Sentiment (IGCS), roughly 66% of retail traders are net-long gold. Downside exposure has increased by 10.30% and 48.34% over a daily and weekly basis respectively. We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment. Since most traders are net-long, this suggests prices may fall. But, recent shifts in positioning are resulting in a bullish-contrarian trading bias.

Gold Price Outlook Turns to Fed Chair Jerome Powell as XAU/USD Breaks Resistance

*IGCS chart used from November 8th report

— Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Daniel, use the comments section below or @ddubrovskyFX on Twitter




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Beginner Trading System | Custom Indicators | Forex Factory

Posted: 07 Nov 2021 10:01 PM PST




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I test the Daylight Trading Strategy by LauraT that has become a trending thread on Forex Factory. This system is a simple mechanical method that is great for beginner traders and those looking for a non-discretionary trading system.

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Trader's Landing is a trading system review and education channel. By testing indicator based trading strategies we are able to learn and understand a system's performance by using a repeatable and clearly defined trading criteria that has a predictable performance through a series of many setups. These trading systems can be ported over to many instruments such as Forex (FX), Cryptocurrency (Crypto), Options, Stocks, or anything that has a chart and a significant amount of volume and market participants.

If you are looking for trading systems to test out on your own here is a playlist of systems that I like: https://bit.ly/SystemsILike
WARNING: Be sure to do exhaustive backtesting and forward testing before you actually start trading real funds. For your convenience below is a link to the official Trader's Landing backtesting spreadsheet and tutorial video.

🔍 Link to my Testing Performance Spreadsheet: https://bit.ly/TLResults
Total amount of trading systems tested so far: 27

📘 Link to my backtesting spreadsheet: https://bit.ly/TLTestSheet
📺 Link to the backtesting spreadsheet tutorial: https://bit.ly/BTTutoiral

See a trading system you would like tested on this channel? Be sure to let me know, including links where you found it, and any other pertinent information. In many ways you are the eyes and ears of this channel.

Link to thread by LauraT on Forex Factory https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/1086170-daylight-trading-strategy

Chapters:
00:00 – Introduction
00:59 – Indicators
01:45 – Rules & Examples
04:58 – Test
05:22 – Testing Results
06:06 – Find the Crumbs

System Specifics
Time Frame
H1

Indicators
pbfx_Williams %R
https://uk.tradingview.com/script/Bfdpu4DA-pbfx-Williams-R/
pbfx_Daylight
https://uk.tradingview.com/script/GSFfNSGQ-pbfx-Daylight/
ATR Bands
https://uk.tradingview.com/script/uTetNB3s-ATR-Bands/

Long Entry
Green MA over Red MA on main chart and daylight exists between them.
Price closes above Green MA on main chart.
Blue MA above the Red MA in the Williams %R Indicator.

Short Entry
Green MA below the Red MA on the main chart and and daylight exists between them.
Price closes below Green MA on main chart.
Blue MA below the Red MA in Williams %R indicator.

R:R
1:1 for ½ position.
Then move stop to breakeven. 
Then target 2:1.

Where to place stop-loss
2 times ATR

Indicators tested on this channel so far:
ATR Bands, Donchian Channels (DC), Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA), Dynamic Structure Indicator, Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Heikin-Ashi Candles, Ichimoku Cloud, Money Flow Index (MFI), Interstellar Buy/Sell, Interstellar Trend, Multi Timeframe EMA, QQE (Qualitative Quantitative Estimation) Mod, Relative Strength Index (RSI), SSL Channel, SSL Hybrid, Stochastic (STOCH), Stochastic RSI, SuperTrend STRATEGY, Time Segmented Volume (TSV), VuManChu Swing Free, Waddah Attar Explosion V2, Weighted Average Price (VWAP), Williams %R

Captions Available in: Arabic, Chinese, English, German, Hindi, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Norwegian, Portuguese, Punjabi, Russian, Spanish.

#BeginnerTrading #TradingSystem #ForexFactory

Disclaimer
Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

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AUD/USD Rises Despite Wall Street Selloff as Chinese Flooding Lifts Coal Prices

Posted: 07 Nov 2021 09:34 PM PST



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Australian Dollar, AUD/USD, China, Coal, Crude Oil, BOK – Talking Points

  • Australian Dollar rises overnight versus USD despite Wall Street stocks closing lower
  • Chinese floods force mines to close, sending coal prices surging higher in Asia
  • AUD/USD looks to hold above the 50-day SMA after strong overnight gains

Tuesday's Asia-Pacific Forecast

The Australian Dollar remains on a solid footing after gaining overnight despite a weak performance in US stocks on Wall Street. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closed 0.76% lower on Monday. Rising energy costs are fueling concerns that inflation may be stickier than most economists and central bankers have predicted. Those higher costs could very well eat into consumer spending in other parts of the economy. A downbeat GDP report from Goldman Sachs also weighed on sentiment. The US bank cut its growth target to 5.6% for 2021.

AUD/USD rose as coal prices surged in Asia. Beijing ordered energy producers to increase production last week, which relieved some upward pressure on prices. However, flooding across China is halting mining operations. That sent coal futures in China to record highs on Monday, which lifted the Australian Dollar. Australia is a major coal exporter, and China has reportedly allowed small amounts to clear customs despite a ban on coal imports from the southern neighbor.

Oil prices also rose overnight, further spurring inflationary concerns as crude oil hit its highest level since October 2014. The demand for energy products is rising as economies come back online following Covid restrictions put in place versus the highly contagious Delta strain. New South Wales, Australia's most populated state, loosened restrictions on Monday. Vaccination rates in Australia have seen significant progress in recent months, allowing the reopening.

Elsewhere, New Zealand reported a 0.9% rise in electronic card spending for September on a month-over-month basis. Later today, Japan will report bank lending and producer prices data for September. The Bank of Korea (BOK) is set to keep its benchmark interest rate on hold at 0.75%. Traders will also have a close eye on the United Kingdom's July employment report in the European session.

AUD/USD Technical Forecast

AUD/USD put in a solid move higher overnight, breaching above the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Upward momentum eased prior to hitting the psychologically important 0.74 handle, but bulls appear to be in control for the time being. If prices head lower, the 50-day SMA will come back into focus as potential support.

AUD/USD 8-Hour Chart

AUD/USD Rises Despite Wall Street Selloff as Chinese Flooding Lifts Coal Prices

Chart created with TradingView

— Written by Thomas Westwater, Analyst for DailyFX.com

To contact Thomas, use the comments section below or @FxWestwateron Twitter




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The Most Powerful MT4 Indicator Buy Sell Signals – Combine with Advanced Supertrend + MACD

Posted: 07 Nov 2021 09:00 PM PST




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How CPI Data Affects Currency Prices

Posted: 07 Nov 2021 08:31 PM PST



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In this article, we'll explore CPI and forex trading, looking at what traders should know about the Consumer Price Index to make informed decisions. We'll cover what CPI is as a concept, the CPI release dates, how to interpret CPI, and what to consider when trading forex against CPI data.

What is CPI and why does it matter to forex traders?

The Consumer Price Index, better known by the acronym CPI, is an important economic indicator released on a regular basis by major economies to give a timely glimpse into current growth and inflation levels.

Inflation tracked through CPI looks specifically at purchasing power and the rise of prices of goods and services in an economy, which can be used to influence a nation's monetary policy.

CPI is calculated by averaging price changes for each item in a predetermined basket of consumer goods, including food, energy, and also services such as medical care.

It is a useful indicator for forex traders due to its aforementioned effect on monetary policy and, in turn, interest rates, which have a direct impact on currency strength. The full utility of knowing how to interpret CPI as a forex trader will be explored below.

Read more on how interest rates impact the forex market.

CPI release dates

CPI release dates usually occur every month, but in some countries, such as New Zealand and Australia, quarterly. Some nations also offer yearly results, such as Germany's index. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has reported the CPI monthly since 1913.

The following table shows a selection of major economies and information about their CPI releases.

Country/jurisdiction

Compiling body

Frequency of releases

Australia

Australian Bureau of Statistics

Quarterly

Canada

Statistics Canada

Monthly

China

National Bureau of Statistics of China

Monthly

Eurozone

European Central Bank

Twice monthly

Germany

Federal Statistical Office of Germany

Monthly, yearly

Italy

Istat

Monthly

India

Ministry for Statistics and Programme Implementation

Monthly

Japan

Statistics Japan

Monthly

UK

Monetary Policy Committee

Monthly

US

US Bureau of Labor Statistics

Monthly

Why forex traders should follow CPI data

Understanding CPI data is important to forex traders because it is a strong measure of inflation, which in turn has a significant influence on central bank monetary policy.

So how does CPI affect the economy? Often, higher inflation will translate to higher benchmark interest rates being set by policymakers, to help dampen the economy and subdue the inflationary trend. In turn, the higher a country's interest rate, the more likely its currency will strengthen. Conversely, countries with lower interest rates often mean weaker currencies.

The release and revision of CPI figures can produce swings in a currency's value against other currencies, meaning potentially favorable volatility from which skilled traders can benefit.

Also, CPI data is often recognized as a useful gauge of the effectiveness of the economic policy of governments in response to the condition of their domestic economy, a factor that forex traders can consider when assessing the likelihood of currency movements.

The CPI can also be used in conjunction with other indicators, such as the Producer Price Index, for forex traders to get a clearer picture of inflationary pressures.

What to consider when trading forex against CPI data

When using CPI data to influence forex trading decisions, traders should consider the market expectations for inflation and what is likely to happen to the currency if these expectations are met, or if they are missed.

Similar to any major release, it may be beneficial to avoid having an open position immediately before. Traders might consider waiting for several minutes after the release before looking for possible trades, since forex spreads could widen significantly right before and after the report.

Below is a chart displaying the monthly inflation rates for the US. For the latest month, expectations are set at 1.6% inflation compared to last year's data. If CPI is released higher or lower than expectations this news event does have the ability to influence the market.

The CPI and Forex: How CPI Data Affects Currency Prices

Chart to show US inflation levels in 2018/19. Source: TradingEconomics.com. US Bureau of Labor Statistics

One way the effects of CPI data can be interpreted is by monitoring the US Dollar Index, a 2018/19 example chart for which is below. If CPI is released away from expectations, it is reasonable to believe this may be the catalyst to drive the Index to fresh highs, or to rebound from resistance.

Since the Index is comprised of EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and GBP/USD, by watching the US Dollar we can get a full interpretation of the events outcome.

The CPI and Forex: How CPI Data Affects Currency Prices

Chart to show movement in the US Dollar Index. Source: TradingView.com

As can be observed in the example above, as inflation rose during the first half of 2018, the US Dollar Index went up accordingly. But with US inflation drifting lower in the following months and with a missed target of 2%, this pushed US interest rate hikes off the agenda. As a result, the dollar struggled and weakened against a basket of other currencies.

Not every fundamental news release works out through price as expected.

Once the CPI data has been released and analyzed, traders should then look to see if the market price is moving through or rebounding off any areas of technical importance. This will help traders understand the short-term strength of the move and/or the strength of technical support or resistance levels, and help them make more informed trading decisions.

Read more on CPI, inflation and forex

Make sure you bookmark our economic calendar to stay tuned in to the latest CPI data released by a range of countries, and stay abreast of all the DailyFX news and analysis updates. Also, reserve your place at our Central Bank Weekly webinar series to learn about news events, market reactions, and macro trends.

For more information on inflation and its impact on forex decisions, take a look at our article Understanding Inflation for Currency Trading.




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