A 6.4% Yield That Could Be Upgraded to an "A"

This small but promising player from the financial sector could see its dividend safety improve dramatically in the coming years.

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A 6.4% Yield That Could Be Upgraded to an "A" Marc Lichtenfeld, Chief Income Strategist, The Oxford Club One Quick Question Do you believe adding an extra $50K to your income THIS YEAR is possible? >>>Click here for YES.<<< Or... >>>Click here for NO.<<< (Whichever you choose, you should see this "guarantee" on how to achieve the extra $50K.)   PacWest Bancorp (Nasdaq: PACW) is a small California bank with 76 branches. The stock pays a $0.60 per share quarterly dividend, which comes out to a whopping 6.4% yield. That's strong for a bank that isn't considered particularly speculative. This is an interesting situation because at face value, the dividend looks perilous.   The company cut the dividend in 2009 and 2010. SafetyNet Pro penalizes stocks with dividend cuts in the past 10 years.   What Is SafetyNet Pro? SafetyNet Pro is a groundbreaking tool that predicts dividend cuts with stunning accuracy. With it, you can determine the dividend safety rating of nearly 1,000 stocks. Access to SafetyNet Pro is reserved exclusively for subscribers of Marc's newsletter, The Oxford Income Letter. To learn more about SafetyNet Pro and The Oxford Income Letter, click here now.   Net interest income (NII), the measure that we use to analyze a bank's ability to pay a dividend, rose for the past few years, but this year and next year NII is forecast to dip. We don't like to see cash flow or NII going the wrong way on dividend-paying companies. Here's the thing: While NII is expected to head lower, this year the forecast is a decline of 1.5%. Next year, it's expected to slip less than 1%. That is a tiny margin of error. Should NII growth be positive instead of negative, the stock will receive an upgrade from SafetyNet Pro. And if growth is expected in 2021, it would be a significant upgrade. The positive news is that the payout ratio is very low. So even though NII is projected to decline, PacWest Bancorp pays out less than 30% of its NII in dividends.   Simple, Three-Ingredient Drink Stuns Doctors Just a glass each morning could... 1) Effectively turn off cancer 2) Stop deadly cancer cells from ever forming AND... 3) Do the unthinkable - kill cancer cells without harmful radiation or deadly chemicals. Click here for the stunning NEW details and the free recipe.   That low payout ratio gives me confidence that the dividend will not be reduced, despite the stock's low rating due to falling NII and two dividend cuts. And those dividend cuts are about to age out. Remember, SafetyNet Pro dings a company for lowering its dividend in the past 10 years. The 2009 cut will age out on January 1. So all else being equal, the stock should see an upgrade early next year. Once 2010's cut is older than 10 years, that will mean another upgrade. So it's possible that if NII shows positive growth this year and estimates climb for 2021, we could see PacWest Bancorp elevated all the way to an "A" rating for dividend safety. This is an interesting situation because NII is headed south, which we don't want to see, yet the payout ratio is low and the company will soon have a solid, 10-year dividend-raising track record. Right now, because of the two dividend cuts in its recent history and lower forecast NII, the rating is low. But an upgrade should be coming very soon - possibly a big upgrade. Dividend Safety Rating: D Have a great Thanksgiving. If you have a stock whose dividend safety you'd like me to analyze, leave the ticker symbol in the comments section. Good investing, Marc P.S. To honor the Thanksgiving holiday, we will not be publishing Wealthy Retirement tomorrow or Friday. Look for our next piece from Contributing Editor Aaron Task on Saturday, and in the meantime have a safe and restful week.   Click Here to Comment   Bill O'Reilly's Back! (But Who's His Co-Host?!) You'll be SHOCKED when you see the guy Bill O'Reilly handpicked to co-host his new show!   - More From Wealthy Retirement -     Challenge Mainstream Market Feelings With Facts If they interrogate common emotion-based misconceptions, today's investors will realize they have ample cause to be bullish.   What Are You Thankful for in Your Financial Life? 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