Sector Analysis and Key Events for Wednesday

INO.com  INO Morning Markets Report

This is the most severe market warning I have ever issued

The same forces that have triggered every financial boom and bust during our lifetimes are forming a powerful supercycle that will rip through the world economy. Please don't disregard this warning. Get the details on the terrifying new stock market ahead and see why I'm sounding the alarm.
Summary
The Dow Future is trending higher 159 points to 24901. The US Dollar Index moved higher by 0.022 points to 97.387. Gold has slipped 0.260 dollars to 1214.420. Silver is up 0.0090 dollars to 14.1695. The Dow Industrials climbed 108.49 points, at 24748.73, while the S&P 500 gained 8.72 points, last seen at 2682.17. The Nasdaq Composite edged lower 2.50 points to 7079.35. Streaming charts of these markets are available at MarketClub

Blog Postings and Videos
Holiday Membership Deal - Signals & Trading Tools
Tuesday Nov 27th

Gold Extends Consolidation Giving Silver Another Chance
Monday Nov 26th

CVS: Successfully Fighting Back to 52-Week Highs
Saturday Nov 24th

Key Events for Wednesday

7:45 AM ET. The Retail Economist/Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain Store Sales Index

Chain Store Sales, W/W% (previous +2.0%)

Chain Store Sales, M/M% (previous +2.6%)

8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index

Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M% (previous +0.2%)

Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y% (previous +6.2%)

Latest Wk, Y/Y% (previous +6.2%)

9:00 AM ET. September S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices

10-City Idx, M/M% (previous +0%)

10-City Idx, Y/Y% (previous +5.1%)

20-City Idx, M/M% (previous +0%)

20-City Idx, Y/Y% (previous +5.5%)

National Idx, M/M% (previous +0.2%)

National Idx, Y/Y% (previous +5.8%)

9:00 AM ET. 3rd Quarter U.S. Quarterly House Price Index

9:00 AM ET. September U.S. Monthly House Price Index

10:00 AM ET. November Consumer Confidence Index

Cons Conf Idx (expected 135.8; previous 137.9)

Expectation Idx (previous 114.6)

Present Situation Idx (previous 172.8)

4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous -1.5M)

Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous +0.7M)

Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous

7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey

Composite Idx (previous 316.4)

Composite Idx, W/W% (previous -0.1%)

Purchase Idx-SA (previous 227.7)

Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous +3.1%)

Refinance Idx (previous 783.7)

Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous -5.0%)

8:30 AM ET. October Advance Economic Indicators Report

8:30 AM ET. 3rd Quarter Preliminary Corporate Profits

8:30 AM ET. 3rd Quarter 2nd estimate GDP

Annual Rate, Q/Q% (expected +3.5%; previous +3.5%)

Chain-Weighted Price Idx, Q/Q% (expected +1.7%; previous +1.7%)

Corporate Profits, Q/Q% (previous +3.3%)

PCE Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +1.6%)

Purchase Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +1.7%)

Real Final Sales, Q/Q% (previous +1.4%)

Core PCE Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +1.6%)

Consumer Spending, Q/Q% (previous +4.0%)

10:00 AM ET. October New Residential Sales

New Home Sales (expected 575K; previous 553K)

New Home Sales, M/M% (expected +4.0%; previous -5.5%)

New Home Sales Months Supply (previous 7.1)

10:00 AM ET. November Richmond Fed Business Activity Survey

Mfg Idx (previous 15)

Shipments Idx (previous 7)

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report

Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 446.908M)

Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +4.851M)

Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 225.315M)

Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -1.295M)

Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 119.191M)

Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -0.077M)

Refinery Usage (previous 92.7%)

Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) (previous 21.264M)

Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day) (previous -1.123M)



 
Currencies Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
USD Index 97.387 +0.022 +0.02%
INVESCO DB US DOLLAR INDEX 25.99 +0.07 +0.27%
US Dollar/Canadian Dollar 1.331780 +0.001465 +0.11%
Euro/US Dollar 1.128405 -0.000790 -0.07%
JAPANESE YEN Dec 2018 0.008798 -0.000002 -0.02%
SWISS FRANC Dec 2018 1.0021 -0.0010 -0.10%
US Dollar/Hong Kong Dollar 7.82745 +0.00150 +0.02%

CURRENCIES

U.S. DOLLAR INDEX

The March U.S. dollar index is near steady in early U.S. trading. Bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. The shorter-term moving averages for the dollar index are bullish early today, as the 4-day is above the 9- day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Short- term oscillators for the dollar index are neutral to bullish early today. The dollar index finds shorter-term technical resistance at the November high of 96.930 and then at 97.500. Shorter-term support is seen at the Tuesday's low of 96.330 and then at this week's low of 96.040. Wyckoff's Intra Day Market Rating: 5.0




 
Energy Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
CRUDE OIL Jan 2019 51.62 +0.06 +0.12%
NY HARBOR ULSD HEATING OIL Jan 2019 1.8763 -0.0061 -0.32%
NATURAL GAS Jan 2019 4.349 +0.057 +1.35%
RBOB GASOLINE Jan 2019 1.4073 +0.0033 +0.23%
0.00%
UNITED STATES GASOLINE 24.6100 -0.2545 -1.03%

ENERGIES

NYMEX CRUDE OIL

January Nymex crude oil prices are near steady after hitting a 13-month low of $50.10 Monday. Bears are in solid near- term technical control. There are no early clues that a market bottom is close at hand. The shorter-term moving averages are bearish early today as the 4-day is below the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI and slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Look for buy stops to reside just above technical resistance at the overnight high of $52.56 and then at $53.00. Look for sell stops just below technical support at $51.00 and then at $50.10. Wyckoff's Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.0




 
Food Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
COCOA Mar 2019 2138 -7 -0.33%
COFFEE Mar 2019 113.25 -0.05 -0.04%
ORANGE JUICE-A Jan 2019 139.30 -0.75 -0.54%
IPATH SER B BLOOMBERG SUGAR SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN 42.7199 -0.2801 -0.66%
IPATH SER B BLOOMBERG SOFTS SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN 43.4399 +1.2099 +2.79%

FOOD & FIBER

SOFTS: March sugar closed down 14 points at 12.34 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session low and hit a seven-week low. The sugar bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a steep four-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.

March coffee closed up 235 points at 113.15 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session high on short covering after hitting a seven-week low on Monday. Bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a five-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart and have seen a downside breakout from a bearish symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart.

March cocoa closed up $22 at $2,138 a ton today. Prices closed near mid-range on short covering after hitting a six-week low on Monday. The cocoa bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage.

March cotton closed down 102 points at 77.56 cents today. Prices closed near the session low today. Prices Monday hit a seven-week low. The cotton bears have the firm overall near-term technical advantage.

January orange juice closed down 95 points at $1.3910 today. Prices closed nearer the session low and scored a bearish "outside day" down on the daily bar chart. Bears have the overall near-term technical advantage.

January lumber futures closed down $4.20 at $351.50 today. Prices closed near the session low today. The bears have the overall near-term technical advantage, but a price uptrend still in place suggests a market bottom is in place.




This is the most severe market warning I have ever issued

The same forces that have triggered every financial boom and bust during our lifetimes are forming a powerful supercycle that will rip through the world economy. Please don't disregard this warning. Get the details on the terrifying new stock market ahead and see why I'm sounding the alarm.


 
Grains Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
CORN Mar 2019 368.75 +0.25 +0.07%
OATS Mar 2019 283.75 +1.50 +0.53%
WHEAT Mar 2019 507.75 +1.25 +0.25%
TEUCRIUM CORN 15.8162 +0.0062 +0.04%
IPATH SER B BLOOMBERG GRAINS SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN 46.385 -0.315 -0.68%
ELEMENTS MLCX GRAINS INDEX TRUST 3.2000 -0.0500 -1.56%
SOYBEANS Jan 2019 879.00 +3.50 +0.40%
SOYBEAN (MINI) Jan 2019 878.000 +2.500 +0.29%
SOYBEAN MEAL Jan 2019 308.2 +1.1 +0.36%
TEUCRIUM SOYBEAN 16.12 +0.27 +1.67%

GRAINS

GRAINS

Grain futures prices are set to open firmer today, on short covering and some bargain hunting. Not much new. The grain market bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage.




 
Indexes Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
DJ 30 INDUSTRIALS 24748.73 +108.49 +0.44%
NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX (COMBINED) 7079.35 -2.50 -0.04%
S&P 500 CASH 2682.17 +8.72 +0.33%
SPDR S&P 500 268.215 +0.715 +0.27%
iShares RUSSELL 2000 INDEX 148.5225 -1.2875 -0.87%

U.S. STOCK INDEXES

U.S. STOCK INDEXES

March S&P 500 e-mini futures: Prices are slightly higher in early U.S. trading. Bears still have the overall near-term technical advantage. The shorter-term moving averages (4-, 9- and 18-day) are bearish early today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is below the 18-day moving average. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Today, shorter-term technical resistance comes in at 2,700.00 and then at 2,725.00. Buy stops likely reside just above those levels. Downside support for active traders today is located at 2,675.00 and then at Tuesday's low of 2,660.00. Sell stops are likely located just below those levels. Wyckoff's Intra-day Market Rating: 5.5

March Nasdaq index December futures: Prices are firmer in early U.S. trading today. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9-and 18-day) are still bearish early today. The 4-day moving average is below the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day average is below the 18-day. Short-term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at 6,800.00 and then at 6,850.00. Buy stops likely reside just above those levels. On the downside, short-term support is seen at the overnight low of 6,738.50 and then at 6,700.00. Sell stops are likely located just below those levels. Wyckoff's Intra- Day Market Rating: 5.5.




 
Interest Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
T-BONDS Mar 2019 139.31250 +0.03125 +0.02%
0.00%
5 YEAR T-NOTES Mar 2019 112.773438 -0.031250 -0.03%
ULTRA T-BONDS Mar 2019 152.34375 +0.12500 +0.08%
INVESCO SENIOR LOAN PORTF 22.65 -0.05 -0.22%

INTEREST RATES

U.S. TREASURY BONDS AND NOTES

March U.S. T-Bonds: Prices are slightly higher in early U.S. trading today. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Shorter-term technical resistance is seen at this week's high of 139 18/32 and then at last week's high of 139 29/32. Buy stops likely reside just above those levels. Shorter-term support lies at this week's low of 139 even and then at 138 26/32. Sell stops likely reside just below those levels. Wyckoff's Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.5

March U.S. T-Notes: Prices are near steady in early U.S. trading today. Shorter-term moving averages (4- 9- 18-day) are bullish early today. The 4-day moving average is above the 9-day and 18-day. The 9-day is above the 18-day moving average. Oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral early today. Shorter-term resistance lies at this week's high of 119.06.0 and then at last week's high of 119.09.5. Buy stops likely reside just above those levels. Shorter- term technical support lies at this week's low of 118.29.5 and then at 118.24.0. Sell stops likely reside just below those levels. Wyckoff's Intra-Day Market Rating: 5.0




 
Livestock Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
FEEDER CATTLE Jan 2019 148.425 -0.775 -0.52%
LEAN HOGS Feb 2019 65.050 -0.600 -0.92%
LIVE CATTLE Feb 2019 120.600 -0.050 -0.04%
IPATH SER B BLOOMBERG LIVESTOCK SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN 48.8838 -0.0162 -0.03%

LIVESTOCK

LIVESTOCK: February live cattle closed down $0.05 at $120.60 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. Bulls still have the firm overall near-term technical advantage.

January feeder cattle closed down $0.40 at $148.75 today. Prices closed near mid-range today. The feeder cattle market bulls and bears are on a level overall near-term technical playing field.

February lean hogs closed down $0.125 at $65.425 today. Prices closed nearer the session high. The hog market bulls still have the firm overall near-term technical advantage as the African swine fever epidemic spreads in China.




 
Metals Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
GOLD Feb 2019 1219.7 -0.2 -0.02%
SPDR GOLD SHARES 114.935 -0.705 -0.61%
SILVER Mar 2019 14.255 +0.034 +0.24%
PALLADIUM Mar 2019 1134.4 +12.3 +1.09%
DIREXION DAILY GOLD MINERS BEA 34.51 +1.93 +5.60%
INVESCO DB PRECIOUS METALS 34.6800 -0.2800 -0.81%

PRECIOUS METALS

METALS: February gold futures closed down $9.50 at $1,219.20 today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. The bears have the overall near-term technical advantage and gained downside momentum today.

March silver futures closed down $0.143 at $14.20 today. Prices closed near the session low today. The silver bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage.

March N.Y. copper closed down 420 points at 273.10 cents today. Prices closed near the session low and hit a two- week low today. The copper bears have the overall near-term technical advantage.




 
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