Bitcoin Surge Proves the Point: It's Bad Currency Rodney Johnson | April 03, 2019 | If you went to the store two days in a row and all the prices had gone down by 20% on the second day, would you wonder what was going on? What if prices jumped 10% one day, then fell 7% the next? What if, over the course of a year, prices skyrocketed by 400%? This is what the world is like for those who view Bitcoin as currency. Last week the price of Bitcoin shot up almost 20% in one day. Crypto aficionados envisioned the start of a new bull market. Think about that… A new “bull market” in a currency that’s not driven by comparing it to other currencies… or looking at the productive capacity of a nation... or even the amount of the currency outstanding. This is about people buying units for… what? The fact that the value of something labeled a “currency” can fluctuate by not 1%, or even 2%... but 20% in a single day should scare off anyone who is interested in their currency holding value over time. If people want to “invest” in Bitcoin, which is nothing more than gambling by hoping one day someone will pay you more for it since it has no intrinsic value, that’s great… as long as they limit it to no more than they can afford to lose. What can go up can just as fast go down. The one-day jump was driven by a single order to buy 20,000 Bitcoin split across three exchanges: Coinbase, Kraken, and Bitstamp. Think about it: One order for 20,000 units drove up the price by 20%. That’s not how currencies operate. Functioning currencies are storehouses of value that are mediums of exchange divisible into small, useable units. Bitcoin fails on two out of three. It’s not a storehouse of value if it fluctuates wildly, and it’s not a medium of exchange since it’s hardly used in commerce. That leaves being divisible into small units. As a digital asset, this one fits the bill. But unlike the Meatloaf song “Two Out of Three Ain’t Bad,” in this instance, two out of three is terrible. I have no idea whether Bitcoin is going up or down from here, but I know one place it won’t go… my digital wallet. Rodney View Article on Economy & Markets » Rodney Johnson, Senior Editor, Economy & Markets For more than 20 years, Rodney has studied how people spend their money as they go through predictable stages of life and how that spending drives our economy. READ MORE » | | Trending Stories... A lot's driving this bubble we've been in since 2009, but good fundamental trends and things like demographics and technology are not among them. The biggest inflator has been the $13 trillion worth of quantitative easing (QE) courtesy of central banks. Thanks to their significant gift to all but retail investors like you and me,... Biotech in 1990, internet companies in 1999, vacation homes in 2005, cryptocurrencies in 2017. Now the fast money is chasing ridesharing pioneer Lyft, as well as other unicorns (private, money-losing companies valued at $1 billion or more). The Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) can certainly make us look foolish. My mother warned me about things like... An article caught my eye earlier this week: 102-year old John "Sonny" Franzese, a former Colombo crime family member, incarcerated for 50 years for refusing to rat on his friends, is finally speaking out. This, on the heels of the Francesco "Frank" Cali murder on March 14 – the first killing of a New York... Last weekend wasn't exactly sunny on the Texas coast, but it was the closest we've gotten in two months. Early on Saturday, I started work in the yard. 96 bags of mulch later, I took a much-needed rest and made my way through the day's news. It was all Mueller, which is unfortunate because there are... In the last week, there have been a slew of articles warning that we're on the verge of a recession. The most prominent is talk about the yield curve – the 10-year versus the three-month Treasurys – finally inverting. That has led every recession since 1955, and only gave one false signal in the 1960s.... |
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