JPMorgan Chase's NII slipped a little last year to $54.6 billion from $57.2 billion in 2019. That's not surprising considering that, aside from Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans funded by the government to keep people on payrolls, lending fell as many businesses weren't able to function. This year, NII growth is forecast to be a hair over flat compared with 2020's NII. So NII isn't trending higher, which isn't great. Let's see whether the company can pay the dividend even with the dip in NII... Last year, JPMorgan paid $12.7 billion in dividends. This year, that figure is forecast to inch up to $13 billion - though that likely doesn't include any assumed raises once the Fed lifts the restrictions on bank dividends. If the 2021 estimates are correct, JPMorgan will pay just 23% of its NII to shareholders in dividends. Heck, even if JPMorgan Chase doubled its dividend, it would still pay less than half of NII in dividends. And don't forget it has those other noninterest-related revenues and profits on top of NII. It's not like JPMorgan is lending out Ethereum. It's getting noninterest income from its crypto and other activities. (To learn more about how to play the boom in crypto using stocks, click here!) Lastly, JPMorgan Chase has hiked its dividend in each of the past 10 years. The dividend is now more than double what it was before the financial crisis in 2008 and 2009. While NII growth is weak, the company's low payout ratio and strong track record of dividend increases mean the dividend is extremely safe. I expect JPMorgan Chase to raise the dividend for an 11th straight year once the Federal Reserve loosens the regulations on bank dividends. Dividend Safety Rating: A If you have a stock whose dividend safety you'd like me to analyze, leave the ticker symbol in the comments section. And be sure to search the Wealthy Retirement homepage for your favorite dividend stock by clicking on the magnifying glass in the upper right-hand corner and typing in the name of the company. Good investing, Marc |
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