As G. Debelle, Deputy Head of Federal Bank of Australia, reported during his speech on monetary policy:
He does not expect any increase in rates at least for the next three years;
Bond purchase program puts downward pressure on AUD rate;
The program was necessary because the yield on Australian 10-year bonds was higher than in other countries;
Caution must be exercised to avoid premature withdrawal of stimuli.
The country's public debt is managed and "absolutely supported";
Vaccine news should help maintain confidence;
Does not see high CPI risks in the foreseeable future;
Not sure about the effectiveness of negative rates as a tool for accelerating inflation and employment.
Our Analysis:
Provided that the currency pair is traded above 0.7375, follow the recommendations below:
- Time frame: 30 min
- Recommendation: long position
- Entry point: 0.7388
- Take Profit 1: 0.7410
- Take Profit 2: 0.7435
Alternative scenario:
In case of breakdown of the level 0.7375, follow the recommendations below:
- Time frame: 30 min
- Recommendation: short position
- Entry point: 0.7375
- Take Profit 1: 0.7350
- Take Profit 2: 0.7330
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