[Friday Rant] China, Hong Kong, Government Power, and the Markets

China, Hong Kong, Government Power, and the Markets


Yesterday morning, I hopped on the line with Dent Senior Research Analyst Dave Okenquist to catch up on all the goings on around the world at present moment.

First on our agenda was China, who's shown itself to be quite fragile lately, with big decisions being made in the wrong ways for the wrong reasons. The country needs a revolution, frankly, with a people-controlled government. A democracy. That's the only way for the Chinese people to reach the sort of economic heights the country's capable of.

If not, then it's going to be trouble for the entire country. The Chinese government has expanded well beyond their means, and when a downturn comes, they're going to reap what they have sowed. Trust me on that. We've already seen examples of this sort of top-down overbuilding in Asian countries, but at this point, it's gone too far. The country's far too urban to be running a government the way they are. The very pernicious Hong Kong riots are a great step in the right direction!

But we also had to talk about the markets for a bit. And frankly, I'm getting a bit annoyed with how sideways things have been. When are we going to see a breakout? In either direction!

This has been happening since January of 2018, mind you, thanks to government stimulus and the propping up of the Fed. But with each correction we're seeing a deeper dive, with is troubling and doesn't bode well for the future. But it's hard to tell exactly what "the future" means right now. We've been in purgatory for quite some time. I still lean towards the downside resolution near term.

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