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Bank Earnings Aren’t Sexy, but Selling Premium Is

Posted: 13 Jul 2021 09:10 AM PDT

My favorite season is finally here — earnings season! 

And this round of reporting could be more important for the market than any other we've seen in the past year. 

It's important because not only will we really get to see how the pandemic recovery is shaping up and just how much analysts have been sandbagging earnings in the past few quarters… 

But markets are at record highs, big tech is at record highs — they ran Amazon.com Inc. (Nasdaq: AMZN) and Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL) to all-time highs… 

And mega traders don't let names like these gap up on earnings… 

So instead, they're looking for a move in other corners of the market they can take all the way to the bank… 

Which gives traders the chance to earn some scratch with the right earnings season options strategies. 

Earnings Season Options Strategies 

So, what do we have? One word — banks. 

Banks start to report this this week with heavy hitters like JP Morgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) beating consensus estimates. 

Now, I’ll be honest with you — banks are nothing sexy. 

They don’t usually move a lot, so if you want to trade them, I'd recommend one of my favorite earnings season options strategies, which involves selling premium…  

And of course, we never sell naked premium, because you never want to get caught with your pants down.  

Using options spread strategies like your iron condors, selling bear call spreads, selling bull put credit spreads… these are all proven strategies traders can use to capture profits and limit downside risk through unknown events like earnings. 

Of course, banks aren’t the only sector the big boys on Wall Street have in their sights this earnings season. Next week, the FAANG stocks will start reporting and that's where things could really get interesting. 

Check out the quick video below to find out how I see that potentially shaping up and how I plan to use my earnings seasons options strategies to take advantage of the massive profit potential. 

As always, you can follow me on social media @lanceippolito on Twitter and Instagram. And don't forget to subscribe to our YouTube channel if you haven't already so you can be notified as soon as we post our next video! 

P.S. What do an 83% stock price dip, dividend cuts and a mountain of debt have in common?

They were all bad news headlines about Apache Corp. in April 2020.

So with those awful headlines, how did I know to buy in at that time…

And walk away with a 157% return just over a month later?

I just waited for this.

The post Bank Earnings Aren’t Sexy, but Selling Premium Is appeared first on Wealthpress.

The No. 1 Mistake Traders Make During Earnings Season

Posted: 13 Jul 2021 07:01 AM PDT

Bank stocks are up as investors expect high corporate profits. Analysts expect earnings to have the highest year-over-year growth since 2009's financial crisis. This is the first time corporations have to stand on their own without the ability to claim negative performance on COVID-19 factors. If earnings do not reflect the expected growth, current market valuations will be hard to justify. 

The Communication Services sector has been consolidating and it could have more upside. There's a new stock on my scan in this sector. I'm really excited to share it with you because when stocks show up on my scan, they tend to stick there for a long time. 

I suggest staying away from tech and financial stocks until a few days after the companies have reported. Getting into a stock before it reports earnings can be a gamble. This is not the time to be a hero. 

In today's video, you'll discover the threats and pitfalls in the market right now… which sectors offer the most vulnerability… which sectors are prime for take off… and which stocks I'm following in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100.

P.S. Big Investors Don't Want You to Know About This

We've all heard of insider trading…

It's unethical and indefensible, and the punishment — jail — fits the crime.

But this doesn't stop corporate insiders from using their information advantage by entering trades before others — bulking up their wealth. 

Meanwhile, everyone else is left scrambling to get in after their shares have catapulted the stock's value to new heights…

These corporate insiders are literally pumping their own stocks, and doing it 100% legally… We don't know about you, but we don't think that sounds fair.

So the Future of Wealth's Lance Ippolito has decided to even the odds.

Learn More Here

Check back each morning for Roger's Radar and the most important news and numbers in the WealthPress stock market recap.

The post The No. 1 Mistake Traders Make During Earnings Season appeared first on Wealthpress.

How to Profit as Energy Prices Skyrocket

Posted: 12 Jul 2021 02:21 PM PDT

Summer is already the most expensive time of the year. Your electric bill goes up. Gas prices go up. Everything seems to get more expensive.

But instead of freaking out every time you see the price at the pump, maybe learn how to profit from energy prices — especially during inflation.

The Federal Reserve has been downplaying inflation for a while now. But to me, the picture couldn't be any clearer. 

If food and energy are the two biggest indicators of inflation… and food, gas, crude oil and energy are all skyrocketing… How is this not inflation?

Look at crude oil, for example. It has been rising ever since it briefly dipped into negative territory — something unheard of for a commodity — during COVID-19. But it actually started at around $10 a barrel.

From there, in about a year… it has shot up to nearly $75 a barrel. That's huge.

If that's not inflation, I don't know what is. Now, let's move on to something more important… how you can profit from energy prices.

How to Profit From Energy Prices During Inflation

The Fed has said it wants to keep inflation around 2%. Well, it's been lower than that mark for the past several years, so now, the Fed is allowing it to climb higher.

And that's having a direct effect on energy prices. People are paying higher electric bills, pump prices keep climbing, it's expensive. Even for summer. So I get asked all the time, "How can I profit? What can I do? How do I get in?"

Well, there are a lot of opportunities to profit from soaring energy prices.

One option is pretty simple: buy the futures, which would be directly buying crude oil or gasoline.

But for those of you who aren't interested in that, you could turn to the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEArca: XLE), an ETF that tracks the energy sector in the S&P 500… and is very liquid.

What should you look for if you want to trade the XLE?

I'll tell you in my short video below as well as give away some stocks to help you profit from energy prices and survive this inflationary summer.

And make sure to subscribe to our YouTube channel and click that notification bell so you can always be up-to-date on market happenings.

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The post How to Profit as Energy Prices Skyrocket appeared first on Wealthpress.

CPI Data Could Be Historic — How Will the Media Respond?

Posted: 12 Jul 2021 02:00 PM PDT

Who's ready for some panic? Because I'm certainly expecting it.

With the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report coming out on Tuesday, I thought it would be good to touch on the Federal Reserve's favorite benchmark for inflation… and what to expect from the CPI data.

On Thursday this past week, the media was doing what it does best: gunning for clicks and stirring up a panic. The world was obviously coming to an end.

The next day?

Everything was great — according to the headlines.

And now we've got a number coming out that could cause some commotion…

On Tuesday, July 13, CPI data will be released and because the Fed uses that to gauge inflation… the media will too.

But anyone who's been reading Fortune Research or Venture Society knows that I don't give a hoot about CPI. It's a backward-looking number. 

By which I mean, it only reports on inflation that has already happened. I don't care about what has already happened… because I can't trade the past. But I don't want anyone to wake up and start panicking, so here's what I expect from the CPI data. 

What to Expect From CPI Data and the Media

First off, it's already beginning…

Source: CNBC

Can you imagine what the headlines will look like after the report comes out?

If you're wondering what to expect from CPI data… I expect it could be the biggest number we've ever seen in our lifetime.

But that's only because last year was the lowest number we had ever seen in our lifetime… And how high or low that number is will ultimately shape what the media says about it. 

If it's low, they may simply shrug their shoulders and move on to some other invented crisis. And if it's higher?

Cue the panic narrative.

I don't know how they'll react, but I do know they will. 

So if you don't know what to expect from CPI data… pay attention. And not to the narratives and headlines, but to the circumstances surrounding what could be a very large number.

All the best,

Matt Warder

P.S. Did anyone know that a few dozen stocks have gone up on the same calendar dates every year for over the past decade? 

We're guessing most would answer with a resounding "No."

Very few people have heard about these predictable calendar dates. But by tapping into them, traders have the chance to lock in consistent winners all year long — no matter what's going on in the broader markets! 
Legendary traders Roger Scott and Tom Busby are pulling back the curtain on this proprietary stock "calendar."

The post CPI Data Could Be Historic — How Will the Media Respond? appeared first on Wealthpress.

Sky-High Earnings, Inflation and Summer Trading: July Stock Market Forecast

Posted: 12 Jul 2021 01:27 PM PDT

Stocks are at a crossroads, earnings are coming in hot, summer trading isn't so hot and a global stock market crash could be on the horizon: Welcome to this much needed stock market forecast for July 2021.

When I woke up this morning, I felt a little giddy. I don't know about you, but I'm the type of investor that gets super excited when earnings season rolls around.

An earnings report is how a publicly-traded company reports its financial results over a certain amount of time and how investors gain insight on the financial success of the company.

They're also crucial for investors and analysts looking to gauge how profitable a company actually is and help determine how much the company's stock is worth. 

So you already know that I had to wake up bright and early this beautiful Monday morning to jot down a couple of notes on things that might move the markets this week — and I'm not just talking about earnings. 

The Stock Market Forecast for July 2021: Things Aren’t as They Seem

But first and foremost: Earnings! 

We have some major bank companies kicking off earnings season this week. Reports from JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM), Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) and Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) all come out this week. I expect results to be mixed.

The key to profiting off of these stocks during earnings is to gauge how the stock market rewards big beats and punishes near misses. 

History shows that the market tends to lag after peak earnings growth. Check out this Bloomberg graphic below and see for yourself.

stock market forecast july 2021

But earnings reports aren't the only thing hitting the stock market this week. 

On Tuesday, we get the U.S Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for June — a popular inflation metric that measures the average change over time in the prices paid by consumers for goods and services. 

And if you remember April's CPI report — WOOF — then you know why some investors are nervous about tomorrow.

In April, the CPI for All Urban Consumers rose 0.8% (expectation was 0.2%) on a month-to-month basis, and rose another 4.2% (expectation was 2.9%-3.9%) over the 12 months prior.

That's a 2.6% rise annually… That's also the largest year-over-year increase since August 2018… the fastest spike since September 2008… and the biggest monthly gain in inflation since 1981.

The years 2008 and 1981 should ring a bell for some of you. Let's just say they weren't great for investors…

Now for June, analysts expect a 0.5% month-over-month increase and a 4.9% year-over-year increase. I expect numbers to be pretty in line with expectations, but if we come in hot —  and I'm talking about us getting a much higher year-over-year number — we could see some fireworks in the bonds market with yields jumping. 

To add more fuel to this fire, Federal Reserve Chair Jereome Powell will talk to the senate on Thursday. But what's new with that?

I swear, the man loves the sound of his voice as he lies about the rampant inflation in the market. 

The Fed chair does much better with a prepared script, and the back and forth with not-so-friendly senators might lead to a slip of the tongue — where Powell could indicate a much quicker tapering than the markets anticipate.

But we won't know the full outcome of this meeting for another three days… and the anticipation is killing the stock market.

And guys, you cannot forget that we're in the midst of summer trading. This means that there is low volume and condition, so cut your trading sizes to match the environment.  

I cannot stress that enough.

Something to pay special attention to during your summer trading is any news bombs of spreading shutdowns from the Delta variant….

Because that can only spell one thing for the economy, and that's another global shutdown. 

If you have any questions about the stock market forecast for July 2021, send them to jeff@joyofthetrade.com. And stay ahead of the markets, especially these choppy ones, by subscribing to our YouTube channel.

The post Sky-High Earnings, Inflation and Summer Trading: July Stock Market Forecast appeared first on Wealthpress.

4 Earnings Plays Traders Needs to Watch This Week

Posted: 12 Jul 2021 12:41 PM PDT

Earnings season will officially get underway with the big banks and a few others reporting second-quarter results this week. 

But this time is a little different than what we're used to…

These companies are expected to stand on their own two feet, so to speak. I mean, they can't keep using the same old COVID-19 excuse. 

It's just too old now. 

And because they provide traders and investors with insight into how companies are performing, I thought it would be beneficial to show my readers which four earnings reports to watch this week. 

4 Earnings Reports to Watch This Week 

Earnings season always kicks off with the Financials… 

And as you'll see in today's video, the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEArca: XLF), which tracks financial stocks, is trading below its 50-day moving average. However, roughly 45% of S&P 500 stocks are trading above their 50-day MA. 

So the stock market is slightly slumpy.

Large caps like the FAANG stocks are roaring right now, while the rest of the market is pretty calm. I mean, if you were to look at small- or mid-cap stocks, you wouldn't be too surprised to see similar price action.

On that note… 

I want to show you the best earnings reports to watch this week, and if you've been a loyal subscriber, it shouldn't be any surprise that Goldman Sachs is up first.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) is supposed to report second-quarter earnings Tuesday before the opening bell. 

I've talked about Goldman Sachs in a lot of previous videos, but for those of you who might have missed them, it's a leading global investment banking firm that provides clients with a wide range of financial services…

And it anticipates earnings growth to come in at 82.6% for the current year!

I think Goldman Sachs will beat expectations and that we'll see it's price trade above $400 per share in the near term. 

But that's just the first earnings report I want my readers to watch this week…

Check out my short video below to see the next three earnings reports to watch this week. And if you plan to trade any of them, let me know about it in the comments section at the bottom of this page. 

Don’t forget to subscribe to our YouTube channel if you haven't already so you can be notified as soon as we post our next video! 

P.S. What if I said there's a way to potentially tell when a stock could explode higher… and that the next profit opportunity might be just around the corner?

How? 

Well, there's a secret stock calendar that has predicted dozens of gains over the past decade — with nearly 100% certainty. 

It doesn't give a rip about the news, earnings, the Federal Reserve or what anyone has to say. The stocks simply explode on the same date almost every year. 

And when traders know the dates… they can bank big profits!

Learn how here!

The post 4 Earnings Plays Traders Needs to Watch This Week appeared first on Wealthpress.

2 Small Caps to Trade as Earnings Season Kicks Off

Posted: 12 Jul 2021 07:07 AM PDT

Small- and medium-cap stocks have been trading sideways for months now. Large-cap stocks continue to be overbought and have been pushing the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to record levels for weeks. With earnings season upon us and fresh economic data hitting the newswire this week, large caps could experience a cooldown. I've identified two low-risk, low-volatility stocks with upside potential — and more in today's stock market recap.

But first…

Stock Market Recap

In the stock market recap, global stocks are mixed as investors look ahead to earnings and economic reports.

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde alerted investors of a monetary policy update ahead of the group's July 22 meeting. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will speak on Wednesday and Thursday. Investors will closely monitor Powell's statements for any changes in U.S. monetary policy. 

The bond market has pulled back from its 200-day moving average and may start its decline to lower levels… especially if we see any news on interest rates rising by the end of summer. Higher interest rates mean lower margins for companies. This could also send tech stocks lower, as high future profits are currently priced into their valuation. 

U.S. banks are set to kick off earnings season this week. Analysts expect another positive quarter as the economy has rebounded strongly. We should get a first glimpse of how companies have been faring in a post-pandemic environment.  

Roger's Radar: 2 Hot Small Caps With Recent Pullbacks

Box Inc. (NYSE: BOX) is a cloud-based product platform. It has a market cap of $4.08 billion. People are moving out of offices, which is driving an increased need for cloud-based products. BOX is currently trading around $24. I would ride this stock to $28 and get out if it drops below $24.  

My second pick for today is an oil and gas company. This stock hit its 50-day moving average (MA) and is bouncing back up. It has a one-year return of 175.36%. I'm looking for it to keep pushing higher.

In today's video, you'll discover whether large caps have more upside momentum left… whether the bond market is going to rise or fall… why the fair value of large caps is distorted… the biggest Fed reports coming this week… how earnings will impact the tech sector… and two hot small-cap stock picks. 

P.S. These Stocks Move on Specific Dates

The following is confidential… so please, don't share it with anyone else. 

Most people don't know this, but there's a secret calendar that reveals the exact dates certain stocks on Wall Street are going to go up every single year. 

I'm serious. This mysterious calendar has spotted a new stock every single week that, once triggered, pops like clockwork. 

It's so accurate, you could set your clock to it and watch your trades shoot to the moon — regardless of what's going on in the rest of the stock market. And let's face it — there's a lot going on in the market this summer.

So instead of trying to pick stocks in overbought markets and interest-rate sensitive sectors — try trading stocks that have a 10-year track record of moving higher during special primetime windows.

Learn More Here

Check back each morning for Roger's Radar and the most important news and numbers in the WealthPress stock market recap.

The post 2 Small Caps to Trade as Earnings Season Kicks Off appeared first on Wealthpress.

Alpha Intel Weekly Watchlist: Monday, July 12

Posted: 12 Jul 2021 01:00 AM PDT

Before we dive into this week's Alpha Intel Weekly Watchlist, I just wanted to let you know that later today, I'll send you a free trade idea pulled directly from this list — all just for being a reader of Alpha Intel. 

But please, do not enter this trade unless you're comfortable managing this position on your own. If you want me to manage positions for you, check out my strategies like KingMaker Alerts, which is an excellent entry point where I give you monthly stock and options trade alerts.

And be sure to check out my weekly watchlist each Monday!

Now, on to this week’s watchlist!

Do you know where the "King Makers" (big, institutional traders) are investing their money in the market? We don’t have access to their exact buy and sell orders in real-time, but the good news is they can’t hide! 

Why? Because everything they do shows up in my two favorite indicators: PRICE and VOLUME. 

The Alpha Intel Weekly Watchlist gives you my top 5 stocks that have unusually high price and volume activity, and have crossed my “Alpha Line.” That doesn't always mean these stocks will rally from here, but those are the major ingredients that help a stock soar!  

One more thing I look for before deciding whether to enter a trade is where the stock's price is in relation to its 50-day moving average. All things being equal, I want to buy a stock that is trading near or just above its 50 DMA line, and just below its 52-week high. 

The Alpha Intel Weekly Watchlist is not a recommendation. It is for trade ideas only. Do not enter a position unless you’re comfortable managing it on your own. 

If you want more than just trade ideas, I send actionable, KingMaker Alerts trades via text and email alerts. And not only will I send you monthly alerts on when to get into KingMaker stocks and options, but also when you should get out of them. 

If you're new to trading, don't worry! There's plenty of handholding and educational material, including weekly market video updates, so check out KingMaker Alerts!

Alpha Intel Weekly Watchlist

And as always, please like and subscribe to our YouTube channel and podcast, "Smart Money Circle," where I interview some of the most brilliant minds in the business. You can also follow me on Twitter, and read more of my thoughts on the market at WealthPress and on Forbes, where I'm also a contributor.

Adam Sarhan
Alpha Intel 

Check back each Monday morning after the open for the Alpha Intel Weekly Watchlist.

The post Alpha Intel Weekly Watchlist: Monday, July 12 appeared first on Wealthpress.

Roger’s Radar Weekly Watchlist: Monday, July 12, 2021

Posted: 11 Jul 2021 09:33 PM PDT

If you've been a subscriber for some time, then you should already know I'm primarily a systems trader. That means I perform a lot of sector analysis and count on back-tested, proven strategies to beat the stock market.

And I'm ready to start sharing all of this knowledge with you…

The Roger's Radar Weekly Watchlist uses a proprietary stock ranking system to find the strongest ETFs in the market.  

I use proprietary algorithms based on relative strength over multiple time frames to track the top 5 ETFs. These five ETFs are the strongest in the market. And based on historical data, they're likely to continue to outperform based on backtesting and alerts I've issued in my Alpha Rotation service. 

If you want to learn more about how I pick new stocks to target, check out this video. I have a unique Cumulative Strength Index (CSI) scan I run and use as a barometer for the broader market to gauge major indexes like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. 

And when a stock gets on the upper edge of my scanner, it tends to stick. 

But keep in mind, the ETFs on the Roger's Radar Weekly Watchlist aren't trade recommendations. They're just trade ideas, so don't enter a position if you're not comfortable managing it on your own. 

If you're interested in more than just pointers and ideas, you can get real trades from my Alpha Rotation service through text and email alerts, with entry and exits.

Every two weeks, Alpha Rotation trades clusters of four positions with the possibility for double-digit returns in just two weeks. And I'll even send you bonus trade alerts from time to time. 

Roger's Radar Weekly Watchlist 

And as always, don’t forget to like and subscribe to our YouTube channel if you haven't already so you can be notified as soon as we post our next video and see what other trade opportunities we're paying close attention to! 

The post Roger's Radar Weekly Watchlist: Monday, July 12, 2021 appeared first on Wealthpress.
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