A few years ago, I was speaking with a fairly new investment advisor who knew that I follow the world's top fund managers. This fellow was itching to make a lot of money in a hurry. He was new to his job, but he wasn't young - probably pretty close to 50 years old. He asked... "Which fund manager would you give some money to if you really wanted to make some money?" I said, "Hmm, well, I'm aware of a couple who have generated double-digit returns for long periods of time - more than two decades." He replied, "No, that isn't what I'm asking. Anyone can do that over the really long term. What I want is a fund manager who is going to make me lots of money really fast." I was stunned. The truth, of course, is that generating double-digit returns in the stock market over the long term is extremely hard. Very few fund managers outperform the market over the long term. It's also true that looking to get rich quickly in the stock market is an almost certain recipe for disaster. If someone tells you that they know how to get rich quickly in the market, they are either lying to you or very inexperienced. To hear this "get rich quick" type of thinking coming from someone in the business of providing financial planning advice disturbed me... This man was advising people on what to do with their hard-earned money, and he was making a mistake that, unfortunately, the majority of retail investors make. Take, for example, the experience of retail investors in the top-performing mutual fund of the decade from 2000 to 2010. The numbers are mind-blowing... From 2000 to 2010, the CGM Focus Fund generated an 18% annualized rate of return. That is exceptional stuff. A person who invested $10,000 in this fund at the start of 2000 would have had $60,469 at the end of the decade. How did the average investor in the CGM Focus Fund do? Incredibly, the average annualized return for investors in the fund was negative 11%! The average investor didn't even make money in the best-performing fund of the decade. How did this happen? The answer is simple... It happened because investors were trying to make a lot of money really fast. The CGM Focus Fund kept a very concentrated portfolio with very few stocks, which made the fund's performance volatile. After the fund had a really hot streak, investors would pour money into it. Then, after the fund predictably went cold for a while, those same investors cashed out. They chased performance - and as a result, they bought high and sold low... |
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