Whenever there's a downturn, sell-off or collapse, small caps tend to get hit the hardest. These are often referred to as "frontline businesses." A considerable portion of these rely on the domestic economy - instead of international markets - for revenue. And when the American consumer gets sideswiped by a black swan, like COVID-19, small caps are the most exposed. Looking back at 2020, we see that the Russell 2000 Index suffered a much steeper drop than its larger brethren did. Small caps shed more than 40% of their value at their lowest point in March. They recovered like the rest of Wall Street. But as we can see from the chart, the Russell 2000 underperformed its larger counterparts for much of the year. However, the tide is shifting. And investors need to pay attention to it. Think Small for Big Returns There's been a dramatic shift into small caps over the last couple of months because the mood has changed in this country. There's growing optimism about the U.S. economy fully reopening sooner than previously thought. The vaccine rollout is still full of frustrations. But we're now winning the war against COVID-19. At the moment, nearly 28 million Americans have received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine. That represents more than 8% of the U.S. population. And that's more than were infected with the deadly virus in the U.S. The percentage of new positive COVID-19 cases - especially among the older population - is also in sharp decline across the country. |
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