Sector Analysis and Key Events for Tuesday

INO.com  INO Morning Markets Report

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Summary
The Dow Future has climbed 257 points to 30372. The US Dollar Index edged higher by 0.153 points to 91.133. Gold has eased 61.21 dollars to 1793.30. Silver has slid 0.9315 dollars to 27.4700. The Dow Industrials edged higher by 229.29 points, at 30211.91, while the S&P 500 advanced 59.62 points, last seen at 3773.86. The Nasdaq Composite trended higher 332.69 points to 13403.39. Streaming charts of these markets are available at MarketClub

Blog Postings and Videos
The Rebels From Reddit Favor Silver
Monday Feb 1st

Can The Silver Bugs Alter The Macro?
Sunday Jan 31st

Post Inauguration And Extended Markets
Saturday Jan 30th

Key Events for Tuesday

7:45 AM ET. Weekly Chain Store Sales Index

8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index

Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M% (previous -2.0%)

Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y% (previous +2.7%)

Latest Wk, Y/Y% (previous +3.9%)

9:45 AM ET. January ISM-NY Report on Business

Business Index (previous 61.3)

10:00 AM ET. February IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index

Economic Optimism Idx (previous 50.1)

6-Mo Economic Outlook (previous 47.2)

10:00 AM ET. 4th Quarter U.S. Housing Vacancies

4:00 PM ET. January Domestic Auto Industry Sales

4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous -5.3M)

Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous +3.1M)

Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous

7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey

Composite Idx (previous 907.6)

Composite Idx, W/W% (previous -4.1%)

Purchase Idx-SA (previous 334.2)

Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous -4.0%)

Refinance Idx (previous 4261.5)

Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous -5.0%)

8:15 AM ET. January ADP National Employment Report

Private Sector Jobs, Net Chg (previous -123000)

8:30 AM ET. U.S. Department of the Treasury's quarterly refunding announcement

9:00 AM ET. U.S. Federal Reserve Banks' Small Business Credit Survey:

Report on Employer Firms

9:45 AM ET. January US Services PMI

PMI, Services (previous 54.8)

10:00 AM ET. January ISM Report On Business Services PMI

Non-Mfg Composite Idx (previous 57.2)

Non-Mfg Business Idx (previous 59.4)

Prices Idx (previous 64.8)

Employment Idx (previous 48.2)

New Orders Idx (previous 58.5)

10:00 AM ET. December Metropolitan Area Employment & Unemployment

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report

Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 476.653M)

Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -9.91M)

Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 247.686M)

Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +2.469M)

Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 162.847M)

Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -0.815M)

Refinery Usage (previous 81.7%)

Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) (previous 19.681M)

Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day) (previous +0.039M)

11:00 AM ET. January Global Services PMI

PMI, Services (previous

7:30 AM ET. January Challenger Job-Cut Report

Job Cuts, M/M% (previous +19%)

8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales

Corn (Metric Tons) (previous 1850.3K)

Soybeans (Metric Tons) (previous 2030.4K)

Wheat (Metric Tons) (previous 596.5K)

8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims

Jobless Claims (previous 847K)

Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous -67K)

Continuing Claims (previous 4771000)

Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous -203K)

8:30 AM ET. 4th Quarter Preliminary Productivity & Costs

Non-Farm Productivity, Q/Q% (previous +4.9%)

Unit Labor Costs (previous -8.9%)

9:45 AM ET. Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index

10:00 AM ET. December Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories & Orders (M3)

Total Orders, M/M% (previous +1.0%)

Orders, Ex-Defense, M/M% (previous +1.0%)

Orders, Ex-Transport, M/M% (previous +0.8%)

Durable Goods, M/M% (previous +0.9%)

Durable Goods, M/M% (previous +1.0%)

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report

Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 2881B)

Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous -128B)

12:00 PM ET. January Monthly U.S. Retail Chain Store Sales Index

4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings

4:30 PM ET. Money Stock

8:30 AM ET. January U.S. Employment Report

Non-Farm Payrolls (previous -140K)

Unemployment Rate (previous 6.7%)

Avg Hourly Earnings (USD) (previous 29.81)

Avg Hourly Earnings-Net Chg (USD) (previous +0.23)

Avg Hourly Earnings, M/M% (previous +0.78%)

Avg Hourly Earnings, Y/Y% (previous +5.08%)

Overall Workweek (previous 34.7)

Overall Workweek Net Chg (previous -0.1)

Government Payrolls (previous -45K)

Private Payroll (previous -95K)

Participation Rate (previous 61.5%)

Non-Farm Payrolls Bench Net Chg

8:30 AM ET. December U.S. International Trade in Goods & Services

Trade Balance (USD) (previous -68.14B)

Exports (USD) (previous 184.2B)

Exports, M/M% (previous +1.2%)

Imports (USD) (previous 252.3B)

Imports, M/M% (previous +2.9%)

3:00 PM ET. December Consumer Credit

Consumer Credit Net Chg (USD) (previous +15.3B)



 
Currencies Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
US DOLLAR INDEX 91.133 +0.153 +0.17%
Invesco DB US Dollar Index 24.545 +0.125 +0.51%
US Dollar/Canadian Dollar 1.280985 -0.002140 -0.17%
Euro/US Dollar 1.203280 -0.004555 -0.38%
JAPANESE YEN Feb 2021 0.009523 -0.000009 -0.09%
SWISS FRANC Mar 2021 1.1150 -0.0011 -0.10%
US Dollar/Hong Kong Dollar 7.75154 -0.00171 -0.02%
CURRENCIES:http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=currencies"

The March Dollar closed higher on Monday and above the January 18th high crossing at 90.94. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Multiple closes above the January 18th high crossing at 90.94 are needed to confirm an upside breakout of this month's trading range. If March resumes the decline off today's high, January's low crossing at 89.16 is the next downside target. First resistance is the January 18th high crossing at 90.94. Second resistance is the November 30th high crossing at 91.96. First support is January's low crossing at 89.16. Second support is monthly support crossing at 88.15.

The March Euro closed lower on Monday as it extended January's trading range. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 120.68 would open the door for a possible test of December's low crossing at 119.63. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 121.86 would signal a possible upside breakout of the aforementioned trading range. First resistance is January's high crossing at 123.68. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at 125.39. First support is the reaction low crossing at 120.68. Second support is December's low crossing at 119.63.

The March British Pound closed lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.3507 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness and a possible test of the December 21st low crossing at 1.3200. If March extends the rally off May's low, the February-2019 crossing at 1.3728 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 1.3762. Second resistance is the February-2019 high crossing at 1.3728. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.3514. Second support is the December 21st low crossing at 1.3200.

The March Swiss Franc closed sharply lower on Monday marking a downside breakout of January's trading range. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends today's decline, the November 30th low crossing at 1.1036 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.1027 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is January's high crossing at 1.1441. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at 1.1540. First support is the November 30th low crossing at 1.1036. Second support is November's low crossing at 1.0913.

The March Canadian Dollar closed lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Today's close below the 50-day moving average crossing at 78.09 confirms that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the decline off January's high, the December 21st low crossing at 77.21 is the next downside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 78.59 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 78.59. Second resistance is January's high crossing at 79.44. First support is the December 21st low crossing at 77.21. Second support is the November 13th low crossing at 75.96.

The March Japanese Yen closed lower on Monday as it extends the decline off January's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off January's high, November's low crossing at 0.0948 is the next downside target. Multiple closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.0964 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is January's high crossing at 0.0975. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of March's decline crossing at 0.0981. First support is today's low crossing at 0.0952. Second support is November's low crossing at 0.0948.



 
Energy Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
CRUDE OIL Mar 2021 54.86 +1.32 +2.47%
NY HARBOR ULSD HEATING OIL Mar 2021 1.6810 +0.0334 +2.03%
NATURAL GAS Mar 2021 2.951 +0.123 +4.35%
RBOB GASOLINE Mar 2021 1.6350 +0.0409 +2.57%
Invesco DWA Energy Momentum ETF 20.0074 +0.5393 +2.70%
United States Gasoline 27.48 +0.68 +2.48%

ENERGIES

March crude oil posted a key reversal up on Monday as it extends the trading range of the past three-weeks. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March resumes the rally off November's low, the 75% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $57.64 is the next upside target. Closes below the January 22nd low crossing at $51.44 would confirm a downside breakout of the aforementioned trading range while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. First resistance is January's high crossing at $53.94. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $57.64. First support is the January 22nd low crossing at $51.44. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $48.73.

March heating oil posted a key reversal up on Monday as it renewed the rally off November's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night trading session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off November's low, the 50% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $168.80 is the next upside target. Closes below the January 22nd low crossing at $155.71 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $165.03. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $168.80. First support is the January 22nd low crossing at $155.71. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $148.71.

March unleaded gas closed higher on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are poised turned neutral to bullish with additional strength that would signal sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off November's low, the 75% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $170.66 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $152.99 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at $162.58. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $170.66. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 152.99. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $140.04.

March Henry natural gas closed higher on Monday and renewed the rally off December's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off January's low, the November 30th high crossing at 2.910 is the next upside target. Closes below last-Friday's low crossing at 2.554 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the November 30th high crossing at 2.910. Second resistance is the November 13th high crossing at 3.062. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 2.554. Second support is the January 22nd low crossing at 2.425.



 
Food Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
COFFEE MARCH 2021 125.50 +0.15 +0.12%
SUGAR #11 WORLD MARCH 2021 16.27 +0.12 +0.74%
SUGAR #16 MARCH 2021 28.90 -0.05 -0.17%
ORANGE JUICE - A MARCH 2021 107.85 -2.75 -2.49%
IPATH SER B BLOOMBERG SUGAR SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN 48.2600 +0.6814 +1.41%
IPATH SER B BLOOMBERG SOFTS SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN 43.96 +0.43 +0.97%

FOOD & FIBER

March coffee closed higher on Monday as it extends the trading range of the past two-weeks. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Multiple closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 12.29 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March renews the rally off November's low, September's high crossing at 13.57 is the next upside target.

March cocoa closed higher on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the January 4th high crossing at 26.61 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If March renews the decline off November's high, the November 16th gap crossing at 23.95.

March sugar closed higher on Monday. The high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March renews the rally off December's low, weekly resistance crossing at 17.23 is the next upside target. If March extends the decline off January's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at 15.23 is the next downside target.

March cotton closed lower on Monday as it extends the decline off January's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off January's high, January's low crossing at 78.65 is the next downside target. If March renews the rally off April's low, monthly resistance crossing at 84.47 is the next upside target.



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Grains Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
CORN Mar 2021 545.00 -5.00 -0.91%
OATS Mar 2021 347.25 -0.25 -0.07%
WHEAT Mar 2021 648.75 -4.00 -0.61%
Teucrium Corn Fund ETV 16.9600 +0.0800 +0.47%
IPATH SER B BLOOMBERG GRAINS SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN 58.8000 -0.1499 -0.26%
ELEMENTS Linked to the ICE BofAML Commodity Index eXtra Grains Total Return 4.000 +0.065 +1.62%
SOYBEANS Mar 2021 1355.50 -10.50 -0.77%
SOYBEAN (MINI) Mar 2021 1354.125 -11.750 -0.86%
SOYBEAN MEAL Mar 2021 426.3 -4.5 -1.04%
Teucrium Soybean Fund ETV 20.2500 +0.0900 +0.44%

GRAINS

March Corn closed up $0.02 1/4-cents at $5.49 1/4.

March corn closed higher on Monday as it extended the rally off August's low to a new contract high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming overbought, diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off April's low, the 50% retracement level of the 2012-2019-decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $5.72 1/4 is the next upside target. Closes below last-Monday's low crossing at $4.92 1/2 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $5.55 3/4. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2012-2019-decline crossing at $5.72 1/4 is the next upside target. First support is last-Monday's low crossing at $4.92 1/2. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $4.67 3/4.

March wheat closed down $0.12-cents at $6.51.

March wheat closed lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March resumes the rally off December's low, long-term resistance on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $7.34 1/4 is the next upside target. If March renews the decline off January's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.24 is the next downside target. First resistance is January's high crossing at $6.93. Second resistance is monthly resistance on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $7.34 1/4. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.24. Second support is the December 28th crossing at $6.07.

March Kansas City Wheat closed down $0.12 3/4-cents at $6.25 1/4.

March Kansas City wheat posted a key reversal down as it closed lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below last-Monday's low crossing at $6.05 1/2 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March resumes this winter's rally, the December-2014 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $7.05 3/4 is the next upside target. First resistance is January's high crossing at $6.60. Second resistance is the December-2014 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $7.05 3/4. First support is last-Monday's low crossing at $6.05 1/2. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $5.88 1/4.

March Minneapolis wheat closed down $0.10 1/2-cents at $6.23.

March Minneapolis wheat closed lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible. Closes below last-Monday's low crossing at $6.05 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March renews the rally off December's low, monthly resistance crossing at $6.58 is the next upside target. First resistance is January's high crossing at crossing at $6.53 1/2. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at $6.58. First support is last-Monday's low crossing at $6.05. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $5.88 1/2.

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March soybeans closed down $0.04 3/4-cents at $13.65 1/4.

March soybeans closed lower on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March resumes the rally off January's low, January's high crossing at $14.36 1/2 is the next upside target. If March renews the decline off January's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at $12.70 is the next downside target. First resistance is January's high crossing at $14.36 1/2. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2012-2019-decline on the monthly chart crossing at $15.39 1/4. First support is the 25% retracement level of the April-January rally crossing at $12.83 1/2. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $12.70.

March soybean meal closed down $0.50 to $430.50.

March soybean meal closed slightly lower on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March renews the decline off January's, the 50-day moving average crossing at $414.30 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $440.50 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is January's high crossing at $471.40. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at $478.40. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $414.30. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the August-January rally crossing at $401.40.

March soybean oil closed up 35 pts. at 44.97.

March soybean oil closed higher on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low, the 50% retracement level of the 2008-2020-decline the monthly continuation chart crossing at 47.97 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 40.60 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 45.58. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2008-2020-decline the monthly continuation chart crossing at 47.97. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 43.25. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 40.60.



 
Indexes Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
Dow Jones Industrial Average 30211.91 +229.29 +0.76%
NASDAQ Composite 13403.39 +332.69 +2.48%
S&P 500 3773.86 +59.62 +1.58%
SPDR S&P 500 376.370 +6.300 +1.67%
iShares Russell 2000 ETF 210.88 +5.32 +2.53%

U.S. STOCK INDEXES

The Dow posted an inside day with a sharply higher close on Monday as it tries recover from its worst weekly loss since October and move past short squeeze jitters. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If the Dow extends the decline off January's high, the November 12th low crossing at 28,902.13 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 28,043.64 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 28,043.64. Second resistance is January's high crossing at 31,272.22. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 29,856.30. Second support is the November 12th low crossing at 28,902.13.

The March NASDAQ 100 posted a key reversal up with today's higher close signaling a possible end to the decline off January's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 12,703.20 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March renews the rally off September's low into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. First resistance is January's high crossing at 13,559.75. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 12,703.20. Second support is the December 12th low crossing at 12,217.00.

The March S&P 500 closed higher due to short covering on Monday as it consolidates some of last-week's decline. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Multiple closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 3707.56 would open the door for additional weakness near-term. If March renews the rally off November's low into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 3799.78. Second resistance is January's high crossing at 3859.23. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3707.56. Second support is the December 21st low crossing at 3637.20.



 
Interest Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
T-BONDS Mar 2021 168.18750 -0.68750 -0.41%
iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF 50.767 -0.023 -0.05%
5 YEAR T-NOTES Mar 2021 125.882813 -0.078125 -0.06%
ULTRA T-BONDS Mar 2021 203.7500 -1.1250 -0.55%
Invesco Senior Loan Portf 22.2910 +0.0710 +0.32%

INTEREST RATES

March T-bonds closed down 12/32's at 169-03.

March T-bonds closed lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March renews the decline off November's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2018-2020 rally crossing at 164-04 is the next downside target. If March extends the rally off January's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 171-25 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 170-29. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 171-25. First support is January's low crossing at 167-11. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2018-2020 rally crossing at 164-04.

March T-notes closed up 60 pts. at 137.070.

March T-notes closed higher on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to slightly higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 137.179 would renew the rally off January's low while opening the door for additional gains near-term. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 137.179. Second resistance is January's high crossing at 138.055. First support is January's low crossing at 136.010. Second support is monthly support on the continuation chart crossing at 134.298.



 
Livestock Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
FEEDER CATTLE Mar 2021 137.925 +0.050 +0.04%
LEAN HOGS Feb 2021 69.550 -0.100 -0.14%
LIVE CATTLE Feb 2021 114.875 -0.325 -0.28%
IPATH SER B BLOOMBERG LIVESTOCK SUBINDEX TOTAL RETURN 35.1976 -0.2784 -0.79%

LIVESTOCK

April hogs closed down $1.15 at $75.50.

April hogs closed lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 74.22 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If April extends the aforementioned rally, the July-2019 high on the weekly continuation chart crossing at $81.98 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at 77.60. Second resistance is the July-2019 high on the weekly continuation chart crossing at $81.98. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $74.22. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $71.66.

April cattle closed down $0.15 at $121.70

April cattle closed lower on Monday following last-Friday's key reversal down signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $119.86 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If April extends the rally off October's low, the January-2020 high crossing at $124.50 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at $123.90. Second resistance is the January-2020 high crossing at $124.50. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $121.53. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $119.86.

March Feeder cattle closed up $0.20 at $137.93.

March Feeder cattle closed slightly higher on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off January's high, January's low crossing at $132.68 is the next downside target. If March renews this month's rally, the August-2020 high crossing at $145.30 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at $144.85. Second resistance is the August-2020 high crossing at $145.30. First support is today's low crossing at $136.80. Second support is January's low crossing at $132.68.



 
Metals Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
GOLD Feb 2021 1842.3 -18.2 -0.98%
SPDR Gold Trust 174.24 +1.63 +0.94%
SILVER Feb 2021 27.590 -1.500 -5.16%
PALLADIUM Mar 2021 2258.0 +13.5 +0.60%
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares 19.40 -1.48 -7.61%
Invesco DB Precious Metals Fund 52.5811 +1.2211 +2.32%

PRECIOUS METALS

April gold closed higher on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $1870.50 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If April resumes the decline off January's high, November's low crossing at $1771.30 is the next downside target. First resistance is January's high crossing at $1966.80. Second resistance is November's high crossing at $1978.20. First support is January's low crossing at $1804.70. Second support is November's low crossing at $1771.30.

March silver gapped up and closed higher on Monday as it extends the rally off January's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's rally, monthly resistance on the continuation chart crossing at 30.727 is the next upside target. Closes below today's gap crossing at 27.770 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 30.350. Second resistance is monthly resistance on the continuation chart crossing at 30.727. First support is today's gap crossing at 27.770. Second support is January's low crossing at 24.040.

March copper closed lower on Monday while extending the December-January trading range. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day low crossing at 353.70 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March resumes the rally off March's low, monthly resistance crossing at 379.25 is the next upside target. First resistance is the January 8th high crossing at 373.40. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at 379.25. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 353.70. Second support is December's low crossing at 343.90.



 
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