Lagarde: setting up a policy means reviewing all available tools:
We acted on the first wave, we will act on the second wave;
the GDP in the 4th quarter will be low, but we do not know if it will be negative;
No deflation is expected;
We will monitor the impact of the pandemic on risks;
Banks are waiting for tighter credit conditions;
We will accelerate PEPP purchases if necessary;
There is little doubt that the ECB will take action in December.
Our Analysis:
Provided that the currency pair is traded below 1.1710, follow the recommendations below:
- Time frame: 30 min
- Recommendation: short position
- Entry point: 1.1678
- Take Profit 1: 1.1665
- Take Profit 2: 1.1645
Alternative scenario:
In case of breakout of the level 1.1710, follow the recommendations below:
- Time frame: 30 min
- Recommendation: long position
- Entry point: 1.1710
- Take Profit 1: 1.1735
- Take Profit 2: 1.1760
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