It may be hard to believe, but there's a big crude oil shortage coming. And it's going to drag on your portfolio if you own anything related to the oil and gas sector. Some of you may think I've lost it. But hear me out... Your portfolio could be about to take a big hit as oil tanks. The current crude surplus and the upcoming shortage will take down even more oil and gas companies. So keep reading to see why oil and gas stocks are done for. States Backpedal Upon ReopeningAs states have reopened, folks have started to congregate in large crowds again. And many individuals are viewing this as the green light to abandon face masks. As a result, the number of new COVID-19 cases has soared. According to the World Health Organization, last Sunday was the biggest single-day increase in new coronavirus cases. It tallied more than 183,000 new infections around the globe. The surge in cases isn't just the result of more testing. It's because crowds are perfect places for the virus to spread. The U.S. is now the No. 2 country behind Brazil in new infections. A few towns and businesses that have reopened are starting to backpedal. Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) is reclosing 11 stores in Arizona, Florida, South Carolina and North Carolina. According to experts, this isn't the much-anticipated "second wave." These new cases are still part of the first wave. With many Americans still under stay-at-home orders, demand for crude oil has remained depressed. No wonder crude oil stockpiles have surged to record two-week highs. Big Oil's Already in Big TroubleThe resurgence in cases is quickly throwing cold water on states' efforts to reopen. And that's not good news for the oil sector. And I'm not the only one who thinks so. The International Energy Agency is predicting a "historic plunge in global energy investment." It puts the blame squarely on the coronavirus. And the agency expects global investments in energy to plummet by 20%, or nearly $400 billion, in 2020. Many nationalized oil companies are in dire straits. Their countries' coffers have few funds available for drilling. American shale companies are going to take the biggest hit, falling 50% in 2020. As a result of the coronavirus, the global oil industry could shrink by more than $1 trillion. And that's just this year. Some investors may decide that it's the perfect time to invest in downtrodden U.S. exploration and production (E&P) companies. But that could be a costly mistake. |
No comments:
Post a Comment