Dear Loyal Reader, Joe Biden became the 46th president of the United States on Wednesday. Today, Democrats control the White House and Congress for the first time since former President Barack Obama’s first term. You’ve heard history doesn’t always repeat, but it rhymes. It’s true. History is your friend. Learn it … because it will show itself again. We may just be wearing different clothes. In that vein, let’s take a look at the stocks that outperformed the last time we saw this setup… Will You Be 1 of the “Lucky 50”?
We heard from tons of readers who missed out on the opportunity to get Ian King's next small-cap recommendation — the one he's releasing Monday. So here's what we're doing: We're opening the doors to the first 50 people who subscribe today to get full details on this stock. And with over 300,000 Smart Profits Daily subscribers, these spots will go fast. Fair warning: Not only are spots extremely limited, but the doors shut for good tomorrow at midnight EST. That's why we urge you to go here now to see more… The First 100 Days In the first 100 days Obama was in office, 212 names doubled. I reviewed stocks from four major indexes: the S&P 500 Index, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the Nasdaq and the Russell 2000 Index. These 212 stocks all had market caps of at least $25 million when Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts swore Obama in. The biggest winners were consumer discretionary names (26%), while tech stocks did well too (23%): (Source: Bloomberg, internal calculations.) Consumer discretionary is an important sector of the market. By definition, it includes nonessential consumer goods. This sector includes retail, automotive and home products, as well as hotels, restaurants and leisure. Some of these names have done well during the pandemic. I expect they will continue to do so. And others will explode when people can get out to travel and get back to work. It’s why this sector still has a lot of upside. The Other Side If you were wondering, financials had the worst showing in the first 100 days. That makes sense. We were still trying to make our way out of the financial crisis. Of the 106 names that fell more than 50% in Obama’s first 100 days, 39 of them were from this sector. And 32 of these were banks. Health care (17%) was second to worst over this period. Biotech stocks carry the potential for upside … along with a lot of risk. What Does This Mean? Early 2009 was a tough time, no doubt. We had just suffered a major financial meltdown as the market learned real estate prices don’t always go up. During the start of Obama’s first term, things still felt hit or miss. But the bottom was already in. It’s amazing what cheap money can do. The Federal Reserve slashed rates to near zero in December 2008 … and voila. January 2021 isn’t the same, but it rhymes in many ways. We are still dealing with major issues that have stressed the entire globe. Today’s focus is health, not real estate. We are cautiously optimistic that we have answers in the form of vaccines. But the economy has faltered again. We’re not sure how to fix it yet, but we’re still printing money until we figure it out. History suggests consumer discretionary stocks will benefit over the near term. We saw this during Obama’s first 100 days, and we expect it to happen in Biden’s. Consider the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE: XLY) as a way to play it. It has beaten the S&P 500 over the last one-, three-, five- and 10-year periods. And I expect that will continue. Good Investing, Brian Christopher Editor, Profit Line Privacy Policy Smart Profits Daily, P.O. Box 8378, Delray Beach, FL 33482. To unsubscribe from Smart Profits Daily emails, click here.
To ensure that you receive future issues of Smart Profits Daily, please add info@mb.banyanhill.com to your address book or whitelist within your spam settings. For customer service questions or issues, please contact us for assistance. The mailbox associated with this email address is not monitored, so please do not reply. Your feedback is very important to us so if you would like to contact us with a question or comment, please click here: http://banyanhill.com/contact-us Legal Notice: This work is based on what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors and you should not base investment decisions solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility. Nothing herein should be considered personalized investment advice. Although our employees may answer general customer service questions, they are not licensed to address your particular investment situation. Our track record is based on hypothetical results and may not reflect the same results as actual trades. Likewise, past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Certain investments carry large potential rewards but also large potential risk. Don't trade in these markets with money you can't afford to lose. Banyan Hill Publishing expressly forbids its writers from having a financial interest in their own securities or commodities recommendations to readers. Such recommendations may be traded, however, by other editors, Banyan Hill Publishing, its affiliated entities, employees, and agents, but only after waiting 24 hours after an internet broadcast or 72 hours after a publication only circulated through the mail. (c) 2021 Banyan Hill Publishing. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and treaties. This Newsletter may only be used pursuant to the subscription agreement. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, (electronic or otherwise) in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Banyan Hill Publishing. P.O. Box 8378, Delray Beach, FL 33482. (TEL: 866-584-4096) |
No comments:
Post a Comment