In investing, investors should be wary of extremes. While crazy outcomes are unlikely, they can and do happen. Knowing what those extremes are—and having a plan in place should such a near-zero-likelihood event actually happen, can ensure you keep your wealth when markets go haywire.
 | | Good morning. In investing, investors should be wary of extremes. While crazy outcomes are unlikely, they can and do happen. Knowing what those extremes are—and having a plan in place should such a near-zero-likelihood event actually happen, can ensure you keep your wealth when markets go haywire.
For example, in the oil market, technology buffs see an eventual end to the use of the stuff entirely—making a once-valuable commodity about on par with kerosene production. At the other end, some scenarios for a war in the Persian Gulf see a potential to lock out 40 percent of the world's oil market in a short time. Should that happen, oil could hit as much as $350 per barrel! While oil is trending up a bit right now, over time, better access to supplies and alternatives makes that extreme high scenario unlikely.
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| | |  | DOW 26,806.14 | -0.43% | | | | S&P 2,975.95 | -0.48% | | | | NASDAQ 8,098.38 | -0.78% | | | | | *As of market close | | | • | Stocks declined slightly on Monday, as technology and telecom stocks sold off on various analyst downgrades. | | | | • | Oil rallied 1 percent to $58 per barrel, and bitcoin closed in on $12,000 as gold hovered right near $1,400. | | | |
| | | Rosenblatt Cuts Apple Shares to Sell | | 
| | Investment firm sees 25 percent downside in tech giant's shares. | | Investment firm Rosenblatt has cut shares of Apple to sell from neutral. The company cited "fundamental deterioration" of the underlying business over the next 6-12 months as the culprit.
Looking at the specific product lines, expectations are for disappointing sales in iPhones and iPad growth. New products like the Apple Watch and AirPods are too small relative to the company to impact revenue growth.
» FULL STORY | | | | |
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| | Morgan Stanley Cuts Bank Stock Estimates | |  | | End of stress tests and cycle change are the key catalysts. | | Bank stocks helped lead the market down on Monday, in part due to a downgrade for the big banks by Morgan Stanley.
Citing the end of the Fed's stress tests, the bank sees few upside catalysts ahead. With a higher possibility of interest rates going down, banks are in a position that "looks tougher."
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| | | | Insider Activity: Carnival Corp (CCL) |  | | Director buys over $900,000 in shares. | | Insiders have been a bit more active in the leisure space lately. Besides some of the insider buys we've seen in the casino industry, we're now seeing insiders buy in the leisure travel space.
On Wednesday July 3rd, director Randall Weisenburger bought 20,000 shares of the company he sits on the board of, Carnival Corp (CCL). This is a 20 percent increase in his stake, and he paid about $930,000 to make the deal.
» FULL STORY | | | | |
| | Unusual Options Activity: Apple (AAPL) | |  | | Big bearish bet on tech giant in the next month. | | Shares of Apple (AAPL) sold off Monday on a major downgrade, citing the company's "fundamental deterioration."
Naturally, some traders saw that as an opportunity to sell shares—at least in the short-term. That explains the 100-fold increase in volume on the August 2nd $185 puts on the company. With shares of Apple trading just under $200, this is a bet on about a 7.5 percent decline between now and expiration in 25 days.
» FULL STORY | | | | |
| | | | TOP | | | EIX | 3.141% | | | | WDC | 2.782% | | | | BHGE | 2.607% | | | | MU | 2.511% | | | | ZBH | 2.453% | | | | BOTTOM | | | IPGP | 5.215% | | | | DVA | 4.737% | | | | TRIP | 4.267% | | | | ALXN | 3.837% | | | | AOS | 3.829% | | | | |
| | |  | | We're reducing our overall equity weight via reduction in US and EM [emerging market] equities, the regions with the lowest upside to our 12-month price targets. Our global equity weight is now -4 (on a scale of +10 to -10 | - Morgan Stanley cross-asset strategies Andrew Sheets on reducing stock allocation as markets once again hit an all-time high  | |
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