It’s back to front

This Economic Winter Season Has It Backwards: The Worst
Is Yet to Come


Last Friday I talked about how we have been in a muted Economic Winter Season. We may have had the greatest stock market bubble ever, but our economic "recovery" has been the weakest on record, despite the strongest, globally-concerted stimulus ever.

Here's a chart comparing the real GDP for the 11 years from the 1929 top through the 1940 bottom to the 11 years from 2007 to 2018.

Notice how the cumulative GDP growth since 2007 is 19%? It was 20% from 1929 through 1940. That means this period has actually been slightly worse.

How could this be?

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