More Ominous Signals for the Stock Market 🚩

The Warnings Are Becoming Difficult to Ignore...READ MORE
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The Warnings Are Becoming Difficult to Ignore
Traders often say "they don't ring a bell at the top" which means that there is no formal announcement that a bear market is beginning. Like a recession, the news can only be announced after the fact.

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In the case of recessions, the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) often announces that a recession began more than a year after the economic data turns down. That means it might feel like a contracting economy for some time before the NBER makes its official declaration.

The same idea applies to the stock market. Stock prices will fall significantly before a bear market is declared to be official. But as we explain in our latest article there are often warning signs that the stock market is weakening long before the bear market is official.

Now recognizing that a bear market is near could be important for individual investors as we explain since the price of the Dow Jones Industrial Average must drop by 20% to meet the official definition of a bear market.

By the time that happens, other indexes could be significantly lower, and many individual stocks could show even larger losses. That makes it important to consider leading indicators and in the article, we look at very long term indicators. These indicators have an important message right now.

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